As we approach Matchday 10 of the 2025-26 Premier League season, Arsenal are the favorites to win the title. Here’s an analysis of why they’re the favorites and what they still need to do to secure the EPL Title.
✅ Why Arsenal are favourites
1. Superior league position & momentum
After nine matches, Arsenal topped the table and enjoyed a comfortable lead over their nearest rivals.
Their defence has been exceptional: fewest goals conceded, lowest shots faced, best metrics in many categories.
2. Odds-market support
Betting markets have moved strongly in Arsenal’s favour. They were cut to odds-on for the title after key rivals dropped points
Example: One platform had them at 10/11 to win the title after a win vs West Ham.
3. Rivals dropping form
Key challengers (Liverpool, Manchester City) have looked less convincing: more vulnerabilities, fewer dominant performances.
This gives Arsenal both a points cushion and a psychological advantage.
What still stands in their way
Although Arsenal are in a strong position, the title race is still long, and mistakes can happen. Consider the following:
Performance and injuries: Maintaining a consistent level throughout a 38-game season requires a strong, injury-free, and consistent squad.
Tough and demanding competition: Tough away games, scoring early goals, and managing expectations can turn the tide of a match.
Returning rivals: Liverpool, Manchester City, or other teams could pick up the pace; a consecutive scoring run by the opponent can change the course of a game.
Balancing defense and attack: Maintaining a solid defense while also scoring enough goals can lead to fatigue and a drop in performance.
Final Word
In short: Arsenal are the favorites to win the 2025-26 Premier League title. Their form, statistics, and market sentiment all point to them having the best chance. However, as many leagues have shown, simply maintaining this position doesn’t guarantee success. They must maintain consistent performance week after week and avoid costly mistakes.
If you’d like, I can show you a table with their probability of winning the title (according to a model) and compare the difficulty of their remaining matches with those of their rivals. Interested?